Pre-tourney Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#281
Expected Predictive Rating-9.5#304
Pace70.3#147
Improvement+1.4#122

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#281
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.8#139

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#281
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.6#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.5% n/a n/a
First Round0.3% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2017 13   @ Xavier L 49-101 2%     0 - 1 -33.7 +9.1 +9.1
  Nov 12, 2017 169   @ Lipscomb L 70-77 17%     0 - 2 -3.9 +1.5 +1.5
  Nov 16, 2017 115   Marshall W 86-83 23%     1 - 2 +3.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Nov 21, 2017 284   @ IUPUI L 61-67 39%     1 - 3 -10.3 -2.2 -2.2
  Nov 25, 2017 31   @ Virginia Tech L 63-96 3%     1 - 4 -18.1 +7.5 +7.5
  Nov 27, 2017 214   @ Central Arkansas L 78-82 25%     1 - 5 -4.1 +0.0 +0.0
  Dec 02, 2017 106   @ Northern Kentucky L 49-86 9%     1 - 6 -29.4 +3.8 +3.8
  Dec 17, 2017 214   Central Arkansas W 98-94 OT 46%     2 - 6 -2.1 -3.1 -3.1
  Dec 19, 2017 24   @ Butler L 69-85 3%     2 - 7 -0.2 +7.9 +7.9
  Dec 28, 2017 224   @ Tennessee Tech L 67-69 26%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -2.6 -0.3 -0.3
  Dec 30, 2017 156   @ Jacksonville St. L 69-76 15%     2 - 9 0 - 2 -3.2 +1.9 +1.9
  Jan 04, 2018 254   Eastern Illinois L 52-61 56%     2 - 10 0 - 3 -17.8 -4.4 -4.4
  Jan 06, 2018 316   SIU Edwardsville L 65-70 70%     2 - 11 0 - 4 -17.6 -6.3 -6.3
  Jan 11, 2018 260   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 75-78 34%     2 - 12 0 - 5 -6.0 -1.5 -1.5
  Jan 13, 2018 299   @ Tennessee Martin W 71-67 42%     3 - 12 1 - 5 -1.2 -2.6 -2.6
  Jan 18, 2018 156   Jacksonville St. L 57-58 32%     3 - 13 1 - 6 -3.3 -1.1 -1.1
  Jan 20, 2018 224   Tennessee Tech W 74-55 48%     4 - 13 2 - 6 +12.3 -3.3 -3.3
  Jan 25, 2018 75   @ Murray St. L 81-87 6%     4 - 14 2 - 7 +4.4 +5.2 +5.2
  Jan 27, 2018 200   @ Austin Peay L 76-92 23%     4 - 15 2 - 8 -15.3 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 01, 2018 209   Tennessee St. L 58-61 45%     4 - 16 2 - 9 -8.9 -2.9 -2.9
  Feb 03, 2018 91   Belmont L 73-83 18%     4 - 17 2 - 10 -7.3 +1.3 +1.3
  Feb 08, 2018 260   Southeast Missouri St. L 62-78 57%     4 - 18 2 - 11 -25.0 -4.5 -4.5
  Feb 10, 2018 288   @ Eastern Kentucky L 73-75 40%     4 - 19 2 - 12 -6.5 -2.2 -2.2
  Feb 15, 2018 209   @ Tennessee St. L 74-83 24%     4 - 20 2 - 13 -8.9 +0.1 +0.1
  Feb 17, 2018 91   @ Belmont L 65-108 8%     4 - 21 2 - 14 -34.3 +4.4 +4.4
  Feb 22, 2018 299   Tennessee Martin W 70-53 65%     5 - 21 3 - 14 +5.8 -5.6 -5.6
  Feb 24, 2018 288   Eastern Kentucky W 70-66 63%     6 - 21 4 - 14 -6.5 -5.3 -5.3
Projected Record 6.0 - 21.0 4.0 - 14.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.5 99.5
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%